Donovan Mitchell Steals - Player Prop Bet 3/8/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Steals

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 8, 2023

Updated Mar 8, 2023 7:26 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+104/-132).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 1.4 steals per game this year, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 96th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games on the road.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance across the board.