Donovan Mitchell Steals - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Steals

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 23, 2023

Updated Feb 23, 2023 5:37 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 1.4 steals per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 33.6 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 92nd percentile.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to increase opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to improves player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (83rd percentile).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-slowest pace in the league over the last 25 games when playing at home.