Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 12, 2025 10:00 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-138/+112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +122 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 78th percentile for playing time, averaging an enormous 30.6 minutes per game on his home court this year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from competing against the 3rd-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 20 games (the Pacers).
Donovan Mitchell will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home city generally raises player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 0.3 offensive rebounds per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking him in the 21st percentile -- among the worst in the NBA in this category.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).