Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 7, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 7:06 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has posted 4.6 defensive boards per game on the road this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- among the league leaders by this metric.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.3 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 95th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the NBA.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 1stworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in effectiveness across the board on account of being on the road in this game.