Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/25/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 25, 2024

Updated Apr 25, 2024 10:43 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-170).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -170.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled 4.7 defensive boards per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the league leaders in this category.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell rates in the 96th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game while playing on the road this year.
The 4th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 78th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.2 fouls per game this year.
The Magic have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games on their home court, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production across the board.