Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2024

reorder

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 20, 2024

Updated Apr 20, 2024 1:21 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -122 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 4.3 defensive boards per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 85th percentile.
Donovan Mitchell has played 35.3 minutes per game at home this year, placing him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 15 games on their home court.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games while traveling, which should reduce plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 2ndworst in in the league with just 8.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.