Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 8:13 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 4.5 defensive boards per game this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- one of the best in the league in this category over this stretch of games.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a monstrous 35.0 minutes per game playing at home this year.
Away from their home court, the 76ers have given up the 10th-least offensive boards per game (9.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell stands to see an increase in efficiency in all stat categories on account of enjoying the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this season.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA this year.
The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from competing against the 9th-most sluggish tempo away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 10thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.