Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/2/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 2, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 11:13 PM UTC

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-160/+124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has totaled an impressive 4.4 defensive boards per game this season, quite a bit higher than his 3.4 defensive boards per game last season.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 98th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 35.2 minutes per game while on his home court this year.
The Cavaliers will likely see a spike in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 4th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pistons).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, significantly more than his 2.6 fouls per game last year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 10th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the road team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 9 games, their opposition has collected 10.7 offensive rebounds per game (10th-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons (continuing possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).
Donovan Mitchell ought to see a decline in productivity in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this contest.

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