Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/4/2023

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 4, 2023

Updated Apr 4, 2023 11:11 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has averaged 35.2 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 97th percentile.
The Magic have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games, which ought to increase possessions for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 9th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Magic have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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