Donovan Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Rebounds

Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks · Mar 31, 2023

Updated Mar 31, 2023 7:41 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has put up 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 0.8 more than he's put up overall this year at home.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 34.4 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Knicks have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court tends to increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 2.3 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Knicks have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games away from their home city, which should lead to decreased plays for the Cavaliers.