Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 5/11/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Detroit Pistons · May 11, 2026

Updated May 11, 2026 7:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+100/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -124 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cavaliers rank as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 4.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Detroit Pistons, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 27.6% on 3-pointers (2nd-worst in the NBA) against the Detroit Pistons, creating a challenging matchup.
The 4th-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
The Detroit Pistons have played at the most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.