Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Mar 25, 2026

Updated Mar 25, 2026 7:37 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (+117/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Cavaliers check in as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a favorable one for 3-point attempts; the opposing team's starting SGs have tallied the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (6.3).
The Heat have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to raise opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and result in bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 6thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with a mere 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 5 games when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 foul shots per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, facing an uphill battle to draw fouls.