Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 6:28 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 6.1 three attempts per game (4th-most in the NBA) against the Pelicans, marking this as a good matchup.
The Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 25 games (the Pelicans).
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 6th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have attempted 1.0 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the New Orleans Pelicans, making it tough to get to the foul line.