Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 9, 2026

Updated Mar 9, 2026 6:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (+102/-119).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -119.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot 46.2% on three-pointers (4th-highest in the NBA) vs. the 76ers, marking this as a good matchup.
The 76ers have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to increase plays for the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, finding it easy to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.