Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/7/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 7, 2026

Updated Feb 7, 2026 9:53 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-115/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 27.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 24.6 clip, Donovan Mitchell's points per game have jumped this year to 28.8.
The matchup against the Kings is a favorable one; they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs this year (18.1).
The 5th-fastest tempo visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which ought to increase opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA without the home court advantage with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

As a team, the Cavaliers have been lousy at getting to the foul line in recent days: 3rd-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games as the road team, drawing just 18.3 free throw attempts per game.