Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/23/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 23, 2026

Updated Jan 23, 2026 10:23 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/+108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 24.6 rate, Donovan Mitchell's points per game have risen this season to 28.9.
The 2nd-speediest pace home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers are expected to get a boost in opportunities in this contest from competing against the 10th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds save possession and create bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers rank 2nd-best in in the NBA when playing at home with 11.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's poor 45.1% field goal rate measures as the 9th-lowest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one; when the Sacramento Kings are away from home, they have allowed the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PGs this year (15.2).
The matchup against Sacramento is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a lowly 3.3 free throws per game this year when the Kings are on the road (8th-least in the league).