Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 16, 2026

Updated Jan 16, 2026 8:24 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 30.5 @ -116 before it was bet down to 30.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 24.6 rate, Donovan Mitchell's points per game have increased this year to 29.7.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 37.7% on three-pointers (9th-best in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, designating this as a favorable matchup.
The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo visiting team in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the away team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

As a team, the Cavaliers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe in recent games: 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games, drawing a measly 19.1 free throws per game.
The matchup against the 76ers may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PGs have attempted just 0.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games (least in the league).