Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2026

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 14, 2026

Updated Jan 14, 2026 7:05 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has notched an impressive 29.5 points per game this year, a sizeable increase from his 24.6 points per game last year.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a good one; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the NBA to opposing starting SGs over the last 24 games (18.4).
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers have been the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the 76ers may be a positive one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a whopping 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games (most in the league).

Favors Under

The Philadelphia 76ers have played at the 10th-slowest tempo in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Cleveland Cavaliers's feeble 19.9 foul shots per game measures as the 3rd-worst in the league over the last 15 games.