Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Phoenix Suns · Dec 31, 2025

Updated Dec 31, 2025 3:36 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/+103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 28.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 24.6 clip, Donovan Mitchell's points per game have surged this season to 29.6.
The 5th-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are playing at home, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 3.8 free throws per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Suns, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting SGs have tallied 1.5 threes per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Suns, branding this as a challenging matchup.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from facing the 6th-slowest pace offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Suns).
With respect to getting to the free-throw line, the Cleveland Cavaliers's subpar 16.8 foul shots per game measures as the worst in the NBA over the last 5 games.