Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/6/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Golden State Warriors · Dec 6, 2025

Updated Dec 6, 2025 7:36 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In contrast to last season's 24.6 rate, Donovan Mitchell's points per game have jumped this season to 30.6.
The 9th-quickest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 4th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have attempted 3.2 foul shots per game (5th-highest in the league) vs. the Golden State Warriors, succeeding in their efforts to get to the charity stripe.

Favors Under

In terms of three-point shots, the Cleveland Cavaliers's feeble 34.0% rate of sunk threes on their home court measures as the 5th-worst in the league this year.
The matchup against Golden State is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the opposing team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest three percentage in the league this year (21.6%).
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.