Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/19/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Nov 19, 2025

Updated Nov 19, 2025 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-107/-124).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 28.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PGs have shot 45.5% on shots from the field (9th-best in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, labeling this as a positive matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Cavaliers grade out 4th-best in in the NBA with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.
The matchup vs. Houston is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.2 free throws per game this year when the Houston Rockets are on the road (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

With respect to three-point shots, the Cleveland Cavaliers's poor 32.4% rate of made threes rates 6th-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Rockets have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.