Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 5/6/2025

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers · May 6, 2025

Updated May 6, 2025 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 32.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 32.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 20.8 shots per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.5 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 98th percentile for three-point attempts, posting 8.9 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 31.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 84th percentile.
The Cavaliers will likely see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace away offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, and the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 3rd-best in in the league with 12.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the league) against the Indiana Pacers, creating a challenging matchup.
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
As a team, the Cavaliers have been lousy at drawing fouls in recent days: 6th-worst in the league over the last 10 games when playing at home, averaging a lowly 18.6 foul shot attempts per game.