Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/28/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Detroit Pistons vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 28, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 11:49 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 97th percentile for field goal attempts, tallying 18.6 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.0 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Pistons have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to more plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.1 foul shots per game over the last 10 games, 3.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 35.8 rate, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has been reduced this season to 31.2 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. the Pistons is a difficult one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have put up the 2nd-lowest 3-point percentage in the league this year (27.6%).
The 8th-most lethargic pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen stat production across the board.