Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 19, 2025 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-136/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.7 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 98th percentile for 3-point attempts, putting up 9.1 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game this year.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play visiting offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to see an increase in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the 9th-fastest tempo home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 30.6% on three-pointers (9th-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Sacramento Kings, identifying this as a hard matchup.
Donovan Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance in all facets of the game.