Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 7, 2025 11:35 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.6 shots from the field per game this year, placing him in the 97th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 99th percentile for threes made, compiling 3.6 per game this year.
This year, the other team's starting SGs have tallied 2.5 three-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Hornets, resulting in a positive matchup.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has averaged a mere 31.1 minutes per game this season, a sizeable decrease from his 35.8 minutes per game last season.
The Cavaliers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this contest from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo home team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Charlotte Hornets).
Donovan Mitchell figures to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.