Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Feb 28, 2025 10:54 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-134/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -134.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.5 shots per game this year, ranking in the 97th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 99th percentile for threes drained, putting up 3.6 per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) against the Celtics, branding this as a strong matchup.
The 6th-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 35.8 mark, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has been reduced this season to 31.0 minutes per game.
The matchup with Jaylen Brown places in the 7th percentile with the other team's starting SGs making only 29.4% of their 3-pointers this year when they are on the away squad.
The Cavaliers are expected to suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 2nd-most lethargic pace team in the league over the last 25 games (the Boston Celtics).
As a team, the Cleveland Cavaliers have been lousy at drawing fouls of late: 6th-worst in the league over the last 10 games while playing away from home, tallying a mere 20.1 foul shot attempts per game.
Over the last 10 games when they are on the road, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.4 free throws per game (lowest in the league) against the Boston Celtics, finding it difficult to get to the foul line.