Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/23/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 23, 2025

Updated Feb 23, 2025 10:34 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has converted 56.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 5 games at home, 9.7% more than he's converted overall this season when playing at home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 98th percentile for three-pointers scored when playing at home, putting up 3.5 per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Grizzlies have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the league this year, which should boost plays for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 35.8 clip, Donovan Mitchell's playing time has dropped this year to 31.1 minutes per game.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a challenging one; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on the road, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to opposing starting PGs this year (17.0).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.