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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Points
Player Prop - 2/4/2025

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Boston Celtics

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell comes in at the 98th percentile for three-point shots converted while playing at home, putting up 3.5 per game this year.

As it relates to scoring, the Cavaliers's superb 129.6 points per game ranks best in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 4th-quickest pace in the league over the last 25 games on their home court.

Donovan Mitchell has made 4.7 free throws per game over the last 10 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted over the course of the season.

Donovan Mitchell will likely see a spike in efficiency in all facets of the game on account of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Donovan Mitchell has averaged a lowly 31.1 minutes per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 35.8 minutes per game last year.

This year when they are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 38.1% on shot attempts from the field (4th-worst in the league) against the Boston Celtics, designating this as a tough matchup.

The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in opportunities in this game from competing against the most sluggish pace road team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 5thworst in in the NBA with the home court advantage with just 9.4 offensive boards per game this year.

This year, opposing starting SGs have attempted 2.0 foul shots per game (6th-lowest in the NBA) against the Celtics, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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