Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/30/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Jan 30, 2025

Updated Jan 30, 2025 6:58 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has notched 28.8 points per game over the last 5 games, 4.9 higher than he's notched overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 30.9 minutes per game at home this year.
In terms of scoring, the Cavaliers's excellent 121.8 points per game as the home team settles in as the best in the league over the last 25 games.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 2nd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games as the home team.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the speediest pace in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, the other team's starting SGs have compiled 15.1 points per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Hawks, making this a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).