Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Houston Rockets · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 25, 2025 10:01 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 22.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.6 more than he's attempted overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has sunk 3.6 shots from downtown per game this year, putting him in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has played 30.6 minutes per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 79th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
When it comes to scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's excellent 121.8 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the NBA this year.
The 6th-fastest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Houston Rockets is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting SGs over the last 20 games (12.6).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against Houston may be a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Rockets are the visiting team (4th-least in the league).