Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/24/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 24, 2025

Updated Jan 24, 2025 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -104 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 22.2 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 higher than he's attempted in all games this year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 31.2 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
With respect to scoring, the Cavaliers's superb 121.7 points per game measures as the 2nd-strongest in the league this year.
The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one; when the Philadelphia 76ers are at home, they have allowed the 6th-most points per game in the league to opposing starting SGs over the last 24 games (18.4).
The 5th-quickest pace-of-play away team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely see a decline in opportunities today from being pitted against the slowest pace team in the NBA this year (the Philadelphia 76ers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 10thworst in in the league with only 10.3 offensive boards per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.