Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 18, 2025

Updated Jan 18, 2025 9:34 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 95th percentile for field goal attempts, totaling 18.0 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.0 three-point shots per game this year, ranking in the 98th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell rates in the 81st percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 31.1 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to scoring, the Cavaliers's remarkable 122.8 points per game places highest in the league over the last 10 games.
The 2nd-quickest tempo away team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a difficult one for threes; when the Timberwolves have the home court advantage, opposing starting SGs have averaged the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (1.3).
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the league over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and produce more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 8thworst in in the league with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production for all stats.