Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 16, 2025 7:35 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-121/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has converted 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 31.4 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 81st percentile.
As it relates to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's impressive 122.4 points per game away from their home court comes in as the best in the league this year.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a positive one for threes; the opposition's starting SGs have compiled the 2nd-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The 2nd-speediest tempo road offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a hard one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).
Donovan Mitchell should experience a decrease in production in all stat categories as a result of being on the road in this matchup.