Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/8/2025

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Jan 8, 2025

Updated Jan 8, 2025 11:45 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 93rd percentile, putting up a whopping 22.5 points per game when playing at home this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell places in the 98th percentile for 3-point shots converted on his home court, totaling 3.7 per game this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell places in the 77th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 30.4 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 5th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA on their home court this year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one for shots from the field; when the Oklahoma City Thunder are the visiting squad, the other team's starting SGs have shot for the lowest field goal rate in the league this year (34.7%).
The Cavaliers will likely see a decline in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 10th-most lethargic pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the Oklahoma City Thunder may be a tough one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.9 free throws per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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