Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/3/2025

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Jan 3, 2025

Updated Jan 4, 2025 1:30 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.3 field goals per game this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 5.0 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 more than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 31.5 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting SGs have averaged 2.8 3-pointers per game (3rd-highest in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, creating a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Cavaliers check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games, the other team's starting SGs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (6th-fewest in the league) against the Mavericks, finding it difficult to draw fouls.
Donovan Mitchell figures to see a decline in performance in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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