Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/31/2024

reorder

We’re hiring: Junior AI Product & Automation Engineer — Freelance → Learn More

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 31, 2024

Updated Dec 31, 2024 8:59 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 51.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 5.5% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Donovan Mitchell has successfully made an impressive 3.8 shots from downtown per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.3 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 81st percentile for playing time, registering a massive 31.5 minutes per game this year.
In terms of shooting, the Cavaliers's fantastic 127.2 points per game rates most in the league over the last 5 games.
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a tough one for scoring; when the Los Angeles Lakers are on their home court, the other team's starting SGs have put up the 3rd-lowest field goal rate in the league this year (37.1%).
The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-least up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Lakers).
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
In comparison to last season's 5.9 mark, Donovan Mitchell's number of free throws has regressed this season to 3.7 free throws per game.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen stat production for all stats.