Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/30/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Golden State Warriors vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 30, 2024

Updated Dec 30, 2024 10:04 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.2 shots from the field per game this year, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has made a terrific 3.8 threes per game this year, a significant increase from his 3.3 mark last year.
Donovan Mitchell has averaged 31.6 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 81st percentile.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 7th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.

Favors Under

This year, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 38.4% on shot attempts from the field (2nd-weakest in the NBA) against the Warriors, marking this as a tough matchup.
The Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 3rd-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Golden State Warriors).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 7thworst in in the league with only 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens stat production across the board.