Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 27, 2024

Updated Dec 27, 2024 10:59 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -137 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell measures in the 96th percentile for shots, tallying 18.3 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has made 3.7 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, placing him in the 98th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Donovan Mitchell has played 31.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 81st percentile.
As it relates to shooting, the Cavaliers's excellent 121.8 points per game rates 2nd-most in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Denver is a positive one; when the Denver Nuggets are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-most points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 5 games (20.4).

Favors Under

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in more chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers grade out 7thworst in in the league with a mere 9.5 offensive boards per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city tends to worsen player performance across the board.