Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/16/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 16, 2024

Updated Dec 16, 2024 7:19 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 18.8 shots per game this year, putting him in the 96th percentile out of all players in the league.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 9.2 per game this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 82nd percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 32.0 minutes per game this year.
The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have totaled 6.2 3-point attempts per game (2nd-most in the NBA) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a strong matchup.

Favors Under

The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 7thworst in in the league with only 9.3 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Over the last 5 games, opposing starting SGs have attempted 0.8 free throws per game (2nd-fewest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, making it tough to get to the foul line.
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player production for all stats.