Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 5:46 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 97th percentile for shots from the field, logging 19.0 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has converted a terrific 3.9 treys per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.3 rate last year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 31.9 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 81st percentile.
In terms of scoring, the Cavaliers's remarkable 121.8 points per game ranks most in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting SGs have totaled 6.3 three attempts per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which should decrease possessions for the Cavaliers.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell is expected to see a decline in production for all stats as a result of being on the road in this matchup.