Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Charlotte Hornets vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 7, 2024 1:05 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 24.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 23.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 2.4 higher than he's attempted overall this year on the road.
Donovan Mitchell has successfully made a terrific 3.8 three-point shots per game this year, quite a bit more than his 3.3 mark last year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 81st percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 31.7 minutes per game this year.
With respect to offense, the Cleveland Cavaliers's outstanding 122.0 points per game rates best in the NBA this year.
The matchup against the Charlotte Hornets is a good one for three-pointers; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the 3rd-most three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (2.5).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers are expected to suffer a drop-off in possessions today from being pitted against the slowest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Hornets).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 4thworst in in the league with just 9.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases stat production across the board.