Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:14 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell lands in the 94th percentile for shots taken on his home court, posting 17.3 per game this year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 11.0 treys per game over the last 10 games, 1.8 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Donovan Mitchell has been on the court for 30.2 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 76th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Cavaliers check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The 5th-quickest pace team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Cavaliers.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a difficult one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs over the last 25 games (15.6).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA when playing at home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game this year.

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