Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 29, 2024 10:30 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 27.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 24.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 3.0 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year on the road.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 11.4 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.3 more than he's attempted over the course of the season on the road.
Donovan Mitchell has tallied 31.5 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 78th percentile.
When it comes to offense, the Cavaliers's terrific 123.5 points per game comes in as the highest in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. Atlanta is a strong one for shots from the field; when the Atlanta Hawks are playing at home, the other team's starting SGs have totaled the 9th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA this year (13.6).

Favors Under

The Cleveland Cavaliers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Cleveland Cavaliers rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Donovan Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually decreases player production in all facets of the game.