Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/27/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 27, 2024

Updated Nov 27, 2024 7:42 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 16.3 field goals per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 91st percentile out of all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 10.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.
As it relates to scoring, the Cleveland Cavaliers's superb 123.4 points per game comes in as the highest in the league this year.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace home team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Cleveland Cavaliers.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

Favors Under

Over the last 20 games, opposing starting SGs have totaled 15.1 points per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) against the Atlanta Hawks, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA while on their home court with just 7.9 offensive rebounds per game this year.