Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Donovan Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 12:29 AM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 21.8 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 11.6 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 2.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season.
In terms of shooting, the Cavaliers's superb 123.5 points per game places strongest in the NBA this year.
The 7th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Cavaliers.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to see an increase in production for all stats due to owning the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SGs have averaged 4.3 three attempts per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Toronto Raptors, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Cavaliers are expected to experience a decrease in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-slowest tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 1stworst in in the NBA while playing at home with a mere 7.2 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup vs. the Toronto Raptors may be a hard one for drawing fouls; opposing starting SGs have attempted a mere 1.2 free throws per game over the last 10 games (least in the league).

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