Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 11, 2024 8:03 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has attempted 17.3 shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile among all players in the league.
Donovan Mitchell has converted 3.1 three-point shots per game this year, putting him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Cavaliers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Cavaliers are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from competing against the fastest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Chicago Bulls).

Favors Under

The matchup against the Bulls is a hard one for shot attempts from the field; the opposition's starting SGs have tallied the least shot attempts per game in the league this year (10.6).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to added chances for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the league with a mere 7.8 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting SGs have attempted 1.7 free throws per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Chicago Bulls, struggling to get to the foul line.
Donovan Mitchell is expected to experience a decrease in output for all stats due to being on the road in this game.