Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Nov 6, 2024

Updated Nov 6, 2024 12:30 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 29.8 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 78th percentile.
In regard to offense, the Cavaliers's outstanding 122.3 points per game measures as the 2nd-most in the league this year.
The matchup against the Pelicans is a good one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (6.1).

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has attempted a measly 18.1 shots per game this year, significantly lower than his 20.2 mark last year.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted just 7.8 3-pointers per game this year, a sizeable decrease from his 8.9 rate last year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, but the Cleveland Cavaliers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with just 7.6 offensive boards per game this year.
The matchup vs. New Orleans is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting SGs have attempted a measly 1.0 free throws per game this year when the Pelicans have the home court advantage (least in the NBA).