Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 9, 2024

Updated May 9, 2024 7:12 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has scored 33.6 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.7 higher than he's scored in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell ranks in the 99th percentile for three-point attempts, registering 8.8 per game this year.
The Cleveland Cavaliers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year as it relates to treys.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting SGs have averaged 6.8 three attempts per game (4th-highest in the NBA) against the Celtics, branding this as a good matchup.
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 9.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 3.1 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's been called for over the course of the year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Celtics have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers grade out 1stworst in in the NBA as the visting team with only 7.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. Boston may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the other team's starting SGs have attempted a lowly 1.4 free throws per game over the last 10 games when the Boston Celtics are at home (least in the NBA).