Donovan Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 5/7/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Donovan Mitchell

G · Cleveland Cavaliers

Points

Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers · May 7, 2024

Updated May 7, 2024 10:56 PM EST

Analysis

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Donovan Mitchell has successfully made 10.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's sunk over the course of the year.
Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell rates in the 98th percentile for shot attempts from downtown while on the road, compiling 8.5 per game this year.
The Cavaliers have been the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year in regard to threes.
The matchup against Boston is a strong one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; when the Boston Celtics are on their home court, opposing starting SGs have tallied the 4th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (6.8).
Donovan Mitchell has attempted 8.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the season.

Favors Under

Donovan Mitchell has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Cavaliers have played at the 9th-most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 25 games.
The Boston Celtics have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Cleveland Cavaliers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Cavaliers rank 1stworst in in the NBA as the away team with just 7.7 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SGs have attempted 1.4 foul shots per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Boston Celtics, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.