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Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell Points
Player Prop - 5/5/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Orlando Magic

Donovan Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Donovan Mitchell has compiled 26.6 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 99th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Donovan Mitchell slots into the 99th percentile for three-point attempts, putting up 8.8 per game this year.

Among all players in the NBA, Donovan Mitchell registers in the 96th percentile for playing time, averaging a massive 35.4 minutes per game this year.

The Cavaliers check in as the 4th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while playing at home in regard to three-point attempts.

This year when they are at home, opposing starting SGs have logged 20.2 points per game (most in the league) against the Orlando Magic, labeling this as a strong matchup for offensive output.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Donovan Mitchell has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's tallied over the course of the year.

The Cavaliers have played at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 20 games at home.

The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Cavaliers.

The Cavaliers rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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